Establishment Republicans breathed a sigh of relief after Donald Trump faltered in the Wisconsin Primary.

Losing by thirteen points and winning only six delegates hampered his chances of winning 1,237 delegates on the first ballot and clinching the GOP nomination.

Establishment mouthpieces across the pundit spectrum took to the airwaves and social media to declare the Wisconsin results could be a harbinger of things to come — and that Trump’s campaign was in disarray.

But even though the establishment united in Wisconsin to hand Trump defeat, new polls released reveal Trump’s campaign remains on track and he will enter Cleveland with a majority of the delegates — and could even reach the magic number of 1,237.

A newly released Monmouth University Poll shows Trump with a commanding 52-25 lead over Ohio Governor John Kasich in New York.

The Empire State votes on April 19th, and will award 95 delegates.

14 are proportionally awarded to the state winner, any candidate who reaches a 20% threshold.

81 delegates are awarded from each of the state’s 27 Congressional Districts, with the winner receiving two, and the runner-up taking one delegate, if they reach a 20% threshold.

However, if a candidate reaches 50% statewide, they win all 14 At-Large Delegates, and if that candidate wins 50% in a Congressional District, they sweep all three.

With Trump’s strong standing in New York, the RealClearPolitics average shows Trump at 53%.

His poll numbers and standing in his home state of New York give him an opportunity to win an overwhelming majority of the delegates; anywhere from 71 to  a clean sweep of all 95.

Currently, Trump needs to win just under 60% of the remaining delegates to clinch the nomination, but a massive victory in New York would shrink that number to a more manageable 53%.

In Pennsylvania, two new polls show Trump with a commanding lead for that state’s delegate haul.

Pennsylvania votes the week after New York, and 71 delegates are up for grabs. 17 go to the statewide winner and 54 are elected as unbound delegates to the convention.

The CBS/YouGov Poll finds Trump with an 18 point lead, showing 47-28 over Ted Cruz.

A new Quinnipiac Poll shows Trump with a smaller, but still commanding lead of 39-30 over the Texas Senator.

While only 17 of the delegates are awarded to the winner, the 54 unbound delegates will largely support the statewide winner of their Congressional District on the first ballot. reports most of those delegates have pledged to vote for the statewide winner on the first ballot:

The delegate candidates themselves come in three basic models:

Uncommitted, but pledging to vote for the top vote-getter in the Congressional District that is sending them.

Unabashedly committed to one of the candidates.

Uncommitted to anything, in the interest of letting the race play itself out completely.

Most of the delegate candidates reached in PennLive’s survey are in the first category. They say they owe a first duty to represent the people who elected them, and they hope that their commitment to do so alleviates some of the confusion facing voters this year.

So while Trump’s win may only net him 17 pledged delegates in Pennsylvania, expect the majority of the 54 unpledged delegates to fall into his column at the convention if he is the statewide victor.

Finally, a new SurveyUSA Poll in California showed Trump with a 40-32 lead over Ted Cruz.

California will grant the richest delegate prize of all, with 172 delegates at stake on the final primary day of June 7th.

These delegates will be fought for largely through the state’s Congressional Districts.

Trump’s current poll lead equates to a haul of around 100 delegates.

A significant win in California, coupled with big delegate hauls in New York and Pennsylvania, could push Trump across the 1,237 delegate number — or put him so close that stealing the nomination from him at the convention would be all but impossible.