sadfaceClinton facing a 2008 repeat as liberals plan to sabotage nomination

Two new polls show Hillary Clinton is in for a fight for the Democrat presidential nomination, a fight that could leave her low on cash and too wounded to win in November.

A Suffolk University polls reveals only 41 percent of New Hampshire Democrats plan to vote for Clinton.  Thirty-one percent plan to vote for independent U.S. Senator Bernie Sanders.

“There is a clear gender gap among Democrats in New Hampshire. Among women Clinton led Sanders 47-28%, but among men she trailed 35-32%,” David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center, told NH1 News. “Political philosophy divided the candidates. Among moderate Democrats, Clinton led Sanders 46-26%, but among self-identified liberals, the race is tied 39-39%.”

That poll does not appear to be an outlier.  A Morning Consult poll released two days earlier shows Clinton leading Sanders by just a 44 percent to 32 percent margin.

It’s not enough for Clinton to simply win.  She must win by large, blowout margins.  The longer it takes Clinton to win a majority of delegates to the Democratic National Convention, the more money she must spend that would be needed to win in November.

A drawn-out presidential nomination would also puncture Clinton’s image as a strong and inevitable winner.

It’s the same series of events that led to her stunning defeat in 2008 to another relatively unknown senator, Illinois’ Barack H. Obama.

Should Clinton’s polling continue to flounder, it could compel Vice President Joe Biden to enter the race.

That would deeply cut into Clinton’s only reliable base of support, Democrat Party loyalists from its moderate wing and convention superdelegates.

Biden is currently polling at double digits, in spite of the fact he has declared he is not running.

New Hampshire votes second in the nominating process.  An early strong showing by Sanders will boost his support early in the process.

The Democrat presidential nomination goes to the candidate who garners a majority of delegates to the national convention.

Those delegates are awarded based on the result of presidential primaries and caucuses.

Even if a candidate loses, he or she could still win delegates.  That means it takes the winner even longer to win a majority of the convention.

Should Clinton win every primary and caucus, she could still fail to win the nomination.  Should Clinton enter the national convention with a 30-point lead, but with only 49 percent support, it would force a brokered convention.

That means Clinton would have to cut a deal, likely with Sanders, to earn his delegates.

In order to avoid a brokered convention, or even a loss, Clinton must move radically to the left.

Her choice is stark.  Either spend all her money winning the nomination, or move so far to the left to win the nomination she hands the November election to Republicans.