Democrats are convinced Donald Trump is ripe to be beaten in 2020.
The largest field of candidates ever may enter the Democrat primary because every one of them is convinced they will boot Trump from office.
Those dreams went up in smoke when liberals got some very bad news about their chances against Trump in 2020.
Any cable news segment or article that discusses Donald Trump’s political standing begins and ends with his approval numbers.
Journalists will point to his job approval – which currently stands at 43.6 percent in the Real Clear Politics aggregate – as evidence that Trump is a historically weak President will lose in 2020.
That’s why everyone from former Vice President Joe Biden to obscure Maryland Congressman John Delaney are expected to run – or have already announced they are running – for the chance to face Trump.
But like in 2016, the media and Democrats are fooling themselves.
Trump’s approval numbers is irrelevant.
Gallup’s final favorability rating from Trump in 2016 was 36 percent.
Trump’s numbers are held down because of Republicans who may disapprove of Trump personally.
But as the 2016 election demonstrated, a good portion of these Republicans are right leaning independents who will pull the lever for Trump because they approve of his policy agenda.
Democrats could be walking into another trap on Election Night 2020 where their allies in the media assure them of victory only to end up blindsided when the votes come in.
That’s exactly what White House Senior Advisor Stephen Miller told the Washington Examiner in an interview.
Miller declared that Trump’s internal polling was better than when Trump pulled off the most shocking political victory in American history.
The Washington Examiner reports:
“Top Trump aide Stephen Miller told Secrets that the administration’s internal polls are better.
“Our poll numbers are better today than they were on Election Day,” Miller told Secrets.
“In today’s country with the nonstop negativity in the media and everything else the political success that we’re having in what you’re seeing in the numbers, the generic ballot and everything else, is all enormously positive,” he added.”
In 2016, the Real Clear Politics aggregate of polls found Trump trailing Hillary Clinton in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and in Wisconsin.
In fact, the final average of Wisconsin polling found Clinton leading Trump by 6.5 points.
Trump won all three en route to winning 304 Electoral College votes.
The President pulled out a victory none of the experts predicted because Americans approved of his Make America Great Again agenda of building the wall and ending global trade deals and foreign wars.
And if Democrats want to cling to the slim reed of Trump’s approval numbers, they are placing a losing bet.
On December 31, 2017 Trump closed the year with a 40 percent approval rating in the Real Clear Politics aggregate.
Today it is just a shade under 44 percent.
Trump’s poll numbers – both public and private – are much stronger than when he won in 2016.
Democrats are deluding themselves if they think their nominee will walk into the White House in 2020.