Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel is one of the Democrats top strategists.
He was the mastermind of the candidate recruitment strategy which led to the Democrats seizing control of the House in 2006. He was also Barack Obama’s first chief of staff.
But he gave a message to Democrats about the next election and they didn’t like what he had to say.
Midterm elections usually end poorly for the party in power.
Bill Clinton lost control of both houses of Congress in his first midterm.
And Barack Obama suffered two of the worst losses in midterm history in 2010 and 2014.
Will Trump and the GOP suffer a similar rout in 2018?
Rahm Emanuel doesn’t think so.
He told Democrats it wasn’t in the cards.
“Emanuel said, “2016, now Democrats are in the lowest level since 1928 in the House of Representatives and the lowest level since 1925 in the state houses. Not really good.” adding,”It is hard to image it getting lower.”
He explained “You got to go out and create a farm team. In ’06 and ’08 everybody goes, ‘Oh that’s when we took back the House.’ You know I got a lot of crap for recruiting Iraq War vets, football players, sheriffs, business people. I said well they are running in Republican districts. I wanted to take cultural issues off the table and I wanted to present economic issues. We as Democrats like to walk around ideally — No you got to be ruthless enough. We recruited people who matched the district. If you’re running in a Republican district, you got to get at somebody who can win in a Republican district. Winning is everything. You don’t win, you can’t make the public policy. I say that because it is hard for people in our party to accept that principle. Sometimes you just got to win. Okay? Our party likes to be right even if they lose.”
He continued, “Democrats love doing a fire squad in a circle. Stop that. Don’t attack, they are too moderate. Forget about it. Stop it. This guy and these people are about to do something on the tax code, the regulatory environment and things that are more threatening than what a fellow Democrat might slightly disagree with you on. Stop it. We’re not strong enough to do that.”
He added, “It took us a long time to get this low. It ain’t gonna happen in 2018. Take a chill pill, man. You gotta be in this for the long haul. And if you think it’s going to be a quick turn around like that, it’s not.”
Democrats face a particularly difficult Senate map.
While they need to win just 3 seats to install Chuck Schumer as Majority Leader, Democrats must defend 23 seats, which include 10 in states Donald Trump won in 2016.
Some pundits are predicting the GOP could capture enough seats to hold a filibuster proof majority starting in 2019.
But holding on to the seats in the states Trump won could prove even more difficult than previously thought.
The Democratic base has become unhinged.
They are demanding 100% resistance to the Trump agenda.
And while denying Trump any support may help red state Democrats ward off a primary challenge, fighting Trump on priorities such as the National Right to Work Act, legislation to stop illegal immigration, repealing Obamacare, and tax cuts – yet still paying homage to their brand of identity politics – could doom them with more conservative and working class votes.