It wasn’t supposed to be this way.
The 2016 election was set up to be a coronation for Hillary Clinton.
But the American people had other ideas.
From the beginning of the campaign, the Clinton Machine believed Trump was the one Republican they could defeat.
So they adopted a primary strategy to help engineer his nomination.
So to take Bush down, Clinton’s team drew up a plan to pump Trump up. Shortly after her kickoff, top aides organized a strategy call, whose agenda included a memo to the Democratic National Committee: “This memo is intended to outline the strategy and goals a potential Hillary Clinton presidential campaign would have regarding the 2016 Republican presidential field,” it read.
“The variety of candidates is a positive here, and many of the lesser known can serve as a cudgel to move the more established candidates further to the right. In this scenario, we don’t want to marginalize the more extreme candidates, but make them more ‘Pied Piper’ candidates who actually represent the mainstream of the Republican Party,” read the memo.
“Pied Piper candidates include, but aren’t limited to:
- Ted Cruz
- Donald Trump
- Ben Carson
We need to be elevating the ‘Pied Piper’ candidates so that they are leaders of the pack and tell the press to [take] them seriously.”
So the Clinton team quickly began to reassess their strategy and build up an opposition research file on Trump.
When it became clear Trump would be the GOP nominee, the polls continually showed a small – but steady – Clinton lead.
It would balloon when media-generated controversies would engulf Trump, but rarely did Trump hold a lead in the Real Clear Politics polling average.
Most of the so-called “data journalists” followed the polls and created models showing Hillary with anywhere from an 84% to 99% chance of winning the election.
Only Nate Silver cautioned that the polls could be wrong, and Hillary’s lead was small enough that any error would mean Trump could win.
And the polls also incorrectly weighted black voters.
Pollsters assumed the Obama coalition would appear again on Election Day, but black voters did not participate in as large a number as they did in 2012.
Trump’s vote was clearly undercounted as his polling numbers in a four-way race on Real Clear Politics averaged out to 42.2%.
Trump finished Election Day with 47.5% of the popular vote.
Real Clear Politics also found Trump coming up short on their no-toss-up map that took into account the polling averages in every state.
But the hidden Trump vote turned out on November 8th and delivered the most stunning upset in American political history.
And it was the final defeat for Hillary Clinton.
Her 40-year quest to become President ended in complete failure.